Sleepers can mean different things to different fantasy managers. We’re referring to players who we believe offer an advantage over their daily draft cost, otherwise known as Average Draft Position (ADP). Let’s look at our favorite early sleepers of the fantasy football draft season.
Rankings scored using semi-PPR expert consensus rankings from FantasyPros (ECR) and Consensus ADP.
It’s time to try your new secret weapon for your draft: Intel project! Draft Intel analyzes up to 5 years of drafts and breaks down all of your teammates’ drafting tendencies. See who’s waiting at quarterback, how people are approaching the early rounds, and tons of other information to gain an advantage in your draft. Best of all, it’s totally FREE! Check your league’s Intel Draft today!
Trey Lance (SF)
The Trey Lance era has finally begun after reports surfaced that the 49ers have decided to move on from Jimmy Garoppolo…even though he remains on the roster.
Garoppolo’s shoulder surgery is the only reason he wasn’t traded. Once he is deemed healthy, I assume he is moved to a team that needs QBs or to a roster that suffers an injury in that position.
Lance started just two games, but showed the rush that excited fantastic managers during the draft season. The 49ers freshman signalman averaged an expected 22.4 fantasy points and 60 rushing yards per game.
Gain league-winning advantage as a late-round quarterback.
Justin Fields (CHI)
Justin Fields dropped to QB18 at the start of the ADP best ball. Everyone is afraid of the situation in Chicago. But remember that a washed Cam Newton went from irrelevant to a top-12 ranked QB in a week last year due to the production rush.
Fields finished in the top 12 fantasy quarterbacks in his last four full games of 2021, averaging 21.7 fantasy points per game. He’s also averaged 56 rushing yards per game over his last six. In total, Fields averaged 35 rushing yards per game during his rookie season. The last three QB rookies to do so? Newton, Josh Allen and Robert Griffin. They all finished in the top 12 fantasy quarterbacks in their second seasons, with both former QBs finishing in the top six.
It won’t take long for the narrative to turn on the talented Fields after he started the season hot. Five of the Bears’ first six matchups are against secondaries who are the weak end of their respective defenses, talents lost in free agency and/or unproven.
In Week 1, Fields takes on the 49ers. He went for over 100 yards against them last season.
Beyond our fantasy football content, be sure to check out our award-winning list of fantasy football tools as you prepare for your draft this season. From our free model Draw simulator – which allows you to simulate the draft against realistic opponents – to our draft helper – which optimizes your picks with expert advice – we’ve got you covered for this fantasy football draft season.
Trevor Lawrence (JAC)
Joe TerrierThe massive sophomore jump is encouraging for this year’s sophomore QBs like Trevor Lawrence. The Jacksonville quarterback finished with the same fantastic points-per-game average as Burrow in 2021 (17.3), but was hugely disappointed in a bad situation. His -72.3 fantasy points over expectation was the best of any QB in 2021.
Lawrence posted a season-high 85.1 PFF passing rating in the season finale, raising hopes he can turn things around in 2022 with a new coaching staff, improved offensive personnel in place and the the second easiest force on the schedule for QBs.
There’s a good chance Jacksonville will increase passing attempts with Doug Pederson calling the shots on offense. During his five-year tenure in Philadelphia, only once did the offense fail to finish in the top 10 in pass attempts.
James Winston (NO)
The additions of Jarvis Landry, Chris Olave and Michael Thomas are huge pluses for quarterback Jameis Winston, who is starting to emerge this offseason as an intriguing late-round quarterback fantasy option.
Winston played with almost no weapons a season ago and still managed to average a fantastic 17.5 points per game – good for QB14 on the year. The Saints quarterback also finished the season with the sixth-best passer rating in the league (102.8) and the lowest play rate (3%) of his career.
Winston led all QBs last year in fantasy points per setback (0.64). He also placed fourth in aDOT, which lends itself to some fantastic enriched weeks.
Daniel Jones (NYG)
Speak Athletic’s Dan Duggan, the Giants want to release quarterback Daniel Jones. It’s music to the ears of fantasy drafters looking for a late-round quarterback with an advantage because Jones has the skills to be that player in a better offensive environment.
Prior to a Week 5 concussion, Jones was the QB8 in total points per game (23.3). Additionally, the Giants quarterback ranked third in rushing yards per game (47/game) and second in PFF passing rating.
This offseason, New York drafted the best offensive tackle in the draft with the selection of Evan Neal in 7th place overall. This provides Jones with the protection he desperately needs as he seeks to prove to the New York organization that he is worthy of being the long-term answer to quarterback.
With the Giants improving their entire offensive line through free agency and the draft, Jones is back on the QB2 fantasy radar in Superflex formats. Recall that he played behind the third offensive line of PFF last season.
It will also greatly benefit from the easiest #1 calendar strength for QBs.
FantasyPros Staff Consensus 2022 Redraft Fantasy Football Rankings
If you want to dive deeper into fantasy football, check out our award-winning list of fantasy football tools while you navigate your season. Of our Start/Sit Assistant – which provides your optimal range based on accurate consensus projections – to our Waiver Wizardwho lets you quickly see which available players will improve your team and by how much – we’ve got you covered for this fantasy football season.