Contract Year Player Prospects: Devin Singletary (Fantasy Football 2022)

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We recently looked at the impact of contract status on fantasy football performance. Focusing specifically on players entering the final year of their rookie contracts, Sam Ryner has rounded up key overall findings as well as impacted players entering the 2022 fantasy football season. Let’s take a deeper dive into one of those players, Devin Singletary.

Other Players of the Contract Year prospects:

RB contract season fantastic performance data (2017-21; PPR rating)

  • 46.7% produced a PPG at least one point above their career average.
  • 42.6% produced a PPG at least one point below their career average.
  • 11.1% produced a PPG within one point of their career average.
  • 33.3% had the best end-of-season ranking of their rookie contract.
  • 31.1% had the worst end-of-season ranking of their rookie contract.

Fun fact: 70% of UDFA RBs who were identified as fantasy-relevant had their career-best end-of-season ranking during their contract season.

What does that mean: The RB position is similar to the QB position in that there is not much difference in the percentage of players who have improved compared to players who have seen their PPG drop in the last year of their career. rookie contract. It’s also similar in that top RBs are usually signed for contract extensions before playing the final year of their rookie contract. Since 2017, the following players have signed contract extensions before playing the final season of their rookie contract: Christian McCaffrey, Dalvin Cook, Alvin Kamara, Joe Mixon, Nick Chubb and Ezekiel Elliott. Of the RBs currently ranked as RB1 according to FantasyPros Expert Consensus Ranking in PPR Formats, only Austin Ekeler, Derrick Henry and Aaron Jones played in the final season of their rookie contracts. 75% of RB1-rated players are still playing on their rookie contract or received a contract extension before their rookie contract expired. The overall finding for the RB position is that contract seasons have not been strongly correlated with players performing positive or negative relative to their career average PPG.

Devin Singletary 2022 fantasy football outlook

Buffalo invested second-round draft capital in a James Cook rookie this offseason, but that’s no reason to write off last year’s starting halfback Devin Singletary entirely. The fourth-year defenseman went wild for the Bills, finishing as RB3 in PPR scoring in the final six weeks of the season – a fantastic 17 points per game. He earned the confidence of the coaching staff by earning over 54 snaps to close out the season, the highest number of snaps Singletary has seen all season dating back to Week 1.

Buffalo also didn’t give up on the Motor Singletary when the team reached the playoffs, with RB1 averaging nearly 20 fantastic points per game from Wild Card Round to Divisional Round.

With a proven track record and two years of using the bell cow’s back in spurts, don’t be surprised when the PFF’s fourth-ranked running back in runs over 15 yards and the seventh-ranked player in forced missed tackles in 2021 is the much sought after RB breakout emerging from an ambiguous high-octane backfield.
–Andrew Erickson

8 contract situations to watch this offseason >>

2022 Fantasy Football Staff Consensus Rankings

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